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Dodgers Avoid Arbitration With Andre Ethier

SAN DIEGO, CA - AUGUST 3:  Andre Ethier #16 of the Los Angeles Dodgers tosses his bat after striking out during the first inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on August 3, 2011 in San Diego, California.  (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)

Denis Poroy - Getty Images

10 months ago: SAN DIEGO, CA - AUGUST 3: Andre Ethier #16 of the Los Angeles Dodgers tosses his bat after striking out during the first inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park on August 3, 2011 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images)

The Dodgers avoided arbitration with Andre Ethier, signing him to a one-year deal worth $10.95 million, plus performance bonuses per his agency, CAA. Ethier made $9.25 million 2011 in the final year of a two-year, $15.25 million contract signed before the 2010 season.

Those performance bonuses for Ethier can total up to $50,000, per Tony Jackson of ESPN LA. Ethier gets $25,000 for 600 plate appearances, and $25,000 more for 625 plate appearances. Last week I guessed a 2012 salary of $13 million for Ethier. I was way off. It looks like Ted Lilly will be the highest paid Dodger in 2012.

Ethier's $10.95 salary in 2012 is the ninth highest single season salary by a Dodgers outfielder.

Highest Single Season Salary, Dodgers Outfielders
Outfielder Year Base Salary Incl. Bonus Comment
Manny Ramirez 2009 $25 million $25 million reduced via suspension
Manny Ramirez 2010 $20 million $20 million
Andruw Jones 2009 $17.1 million $19.6 million spread out through 2014
Andruw Jones 2008 $14.1 million $16.6 million
Shawn Green 2003 $15 million $15.67 million
Shawn Green 2002 $12.75 million $13.42 million
Shawn Green 2001 $11.5 million $12.17 million
J.D. Drew 2006 $11 million $11.4 million
Andre Ethier 2012 $10.95 million ???

Shawn Green also made $16 million in 2004 ($16.67 million if you prorate his $4 million signing bonus over his six-year contract), but he moved first base that season. Matt Kemp makes $10 million in 2012, but he joins the party in 2013, as the final seven years of his contract pay Kemp between $21 and $22 million each season.

The Dodgers have $72.6 million committed to 15 players in 2012, plus a little over $22.2 million in dead money, paid to players no longer on the roster. Don't be surprised if Ethier isn't the only settlement today. James Loney and Clayton Kershaw are also arbitration eligible.

0 recs  |  711 comments

Comments

Eric's Kershaw hope/prediction

Could come true.

2013 Arb Eligibles

Clayton Kershaw
Blake Hawksworth
A.J. Ellis (Super Two)

Ramon Troncoso needs 29 days of MLB service in 2012 to qualify for arbitration.

So he’ll still be a free agent at the end of the year? Is this a good or bad sign for long term renewal ?

Landscape will be completely different a year from now. But our new owner will be competing with everyone else that’s interested.

I can’t see where this is an indication one way or the other.

In fact the only indication that I get from this signing is that we will be paying Fielder $2M this season.

If Colletti was going to extend Ethier, this probably would have been the time to do it. I don’t see Ethier as a Dodger in 2013 unless the new owners really want him here.

It's a blank sign

I think the chances of Ethier staying a Dodger past 2012 are the same today as they were yesterday.

Shawn Green moved first base and they gave him a raise? man, if I went around my workplace just moving things around all willy nilly, they’d probably fire me.

Matt Kemp moved a trash can

and was nearly run out of town

Los Angeles Dodgers: This time, you leave it the fuck alone.

Did Kemp's extension

And salary for 2012, set the market for Ethier?

Not really because Kemp would have gotten 15 or so in a hearing. His extension has built in salary relief for this year.

Right, but we figured Ethier would have gotten $13MM in a hearing, so….

Would not

Surprise me if has easily reached plate appearances incentives tat kick it up another 2M.

Can’t wait for him to play on a bum knee

Well he is a Dodger :)

It was important for Andre to make more then Kemp this one last time

I don’t think Kemp’s contract played a role, but I would like to see just how much in performance bonuses he can earn. My hunch is that it a couple million dollars.

The arb process is hard to pin down and if you think about it someone like Ethier is hard to predict: how many outfielders with Ethier’s numbers go to arbitration for a fourth time? (I don’t know the answer, I assume the answer is close to zero, with the more productive ones already signing multi-year deals) Maybe using the percentage raise breaks down at a higher point like Ethier, and there is some sort of an artificial cap which kept Ethier from going much higher (not to mention coming off an injury, etc).

Not a fan of this early morning news breaking BTW. Was going to sleep in until 7:30 or so, but checked my phone and saw the Ethier news.

The first few weeks of spring training will be like this too, when Arizona is still an hour off and Mattingly meets with reporters around 7:45 PST.

don't worry

i am sure mattingly will not say anything interesting

unless signing Scott Hatteberg warrants front page news : )

Nah

D2X would just play Carlos Pena over him anyway. :)

And that would be terrible!

Well, we enjoy reading it.

Maybe your east coast brother can fill in for you on those early mornings.

if he’s only making 10.95 this year, and has another year like last year, i don’t imagine them offering him a contract worth $12-$13mil to be able to get draft pick compensation next season.

Not sure what you mean

The only way to get draft pick compensation in the new CBA is to offer a one-year qualifying offer at the average of the top 125 salaries.

Nevermind, I misread and missed a word or two.

I disagree. I think they would offer it, and Ethier would decline.

but if he plays like 100 games again, 1yr/12mil would be a great contract for him, i would think.

or he could play in 135 games again

how many of those were healthy? He should have only played in 100 games

I MADE UP A NUMBER OKAY

sorry, i thought it was any contract worth at least the average of the top 125 salaries, and i thought that figure was estimated at $12ish.

I wonder if they count Kemp’s average annual value or his $10mil value for next year’s calculations.

I’m pretty sure for purposes of that it would be average annual value. But I haven’t seen the CBA.

When it comes to baseball games I love a blow out, when it comes to basketball games I used to want a blowout because I never trusted our guards to perform in the clutch.

That is no longer true, even with Paul out, we still had one of the best historical closers and he did what he needed to do to help grind out a victory that had the likes of a D league guard getting minutes. As fun as the 17 point lead in the 1st quarter was, having the Nets tie the game in the 4th, setup an exciting finish that had the near capacity crowd on it’s feet.

I don’t get the Humphries hate? Why is he being booed mercilessly for simply marrying and divorcing an idiot? The man has a solid PF game.

Blake put up some numbers yesterday but I’m worried about several things. One is the free throws, looks like it is starting to be mental, the second is how many times he works hard on the offensive side but ends up with nothing and then waits a few seconds before heading downcourt on defense allowing the opposition time to work a play 5 against 4. Centers get a pass on this, guys who are supposed to be motors do not.

They are booing Humphries because he is gay. People are stupid.

you’ve been watching too much Kardashians. On the radio they made it sound like Humphries showed up Griffin a bit last year, so this was a bit of a revenge angle for both the fans and Griffin.

i have never watched a minute of it before

i told you that my reality TV has to be of people at their jobs. and J Shore

those Kardashian girls work hard to keep up their appearance : )

No, that is not it. He’s being booed everywhere he goes. Many offensive power forwards showed up Blake last year. He’s not exactly a defensive player. Yes, Humphries outplayed him last year, I doubt as many fans knew that as knew who he married and divorced.

For whatever reason he was voted most hated NBA player, as Clipper Steve said I guess they polled 15 year old girls

because you dont fuck with the kardashians!!

and id sure love to have her idiot bank account, thats forsure.

No way. He’s been boo’d at every arena for the same reason he was boo’d in Staples. The Kardashian thing.

Like Phil, I don’t get it at all.

whats a kardashian thing

Humphries was married to Kim for about 13 seconds

and what a glorious 13 seconds it must’ve been.

of course

as you say that, I see this tweet: si_vault: Blake Griffin gives Kris Humphries a facial: http://t.co/aR5EmdQc

basketball needs a new word for that, facial has been corrupted

sure has
wait, what?

I don’t get it. I’m 12 and I don’t know what this is!!!

jk, btw.

you really don’t have to explain.

i was halfway through my reply
glad i said something then.

The sexual term needs a new moniker.

Either way, Marv Albert will be affected.

comment, comment

self edit

laugh

things I am glad I don’t know about

i had no idea until just this second that Eric Bledsoe hadn’t played a minute and was out with an injury. Next to Griffin, he’s my favorite clipper to watch.

I was at the game

and I was really confused as to why everyone was booing. It was a weird boo because everyone would laugh after they finished booing. It was a strange combination of confusion and hilarity. I didn’t boo him until he was shooting free throws in the 4th, but I did find it funny that everyone booed him

Right it was not a hostile boo, at least not until he started kicking some ass, then it was, stop it you fuck.

kismet

the exact same thing will happen to The Meercat at the LFP softball tourney

My teammates are going to good naturedly boo me then turn on me when I hit three straight 6 – 4 – 3 to Xiefrank to Jon to Timmermann?

the fans will throw raw meercats on the field after that hat trick

haha. I hope Timmermann has oiled his glove.

Dave Cameron writes alot, not sure he said anything

thanks.

will not read.

His missing the part where the pitchers would revolt if they stuck Montero behind the plate.

From reading the blogs, Yankee fans sure seem upset about losing Montero. Will be interesting to follow their careers in parallel to see who won.

Yankee fans have been told by the mainstream baseball writers how great of a propsect Montero was and how he was the untouchable for years now.

do not fuck with the narrative

True, but they did see a little of it firsthand last year.

Plus fans always overrate their prospects.

In some universe I know Andy LaRoach is banging the ball

I wouldn’t say that, but Im not one to guess on a mans sexual orientation.

You’re talking a lot, but you’re not saying anything
When I have nothing to say, my lips are sealed
Say something once, why say it again?

Realisant mon essoir.

Gio Gonzalez breakdown

5 years, $42 million guaranteed, could be 7/$63.5m, per Mark Zuckerman:

$500k signing bonus
2012: $3.25m
2013: $6.25m
2014: $8.5m
2015: $11m
2016: $12m
2017: $12m option ($500k buyout)
2018: $12m option

Not sure if both options need to be exercised at once

Interesting deal. Some risk on both sides there.

what time is Kershaw's press conference today?
True story - in 1966

instead of rings, the Dodgers were given Rolex watches for winning the pennant. This one belonged to J.T. Brewer:

I am not a memorabilia guy

but I’d drop $500 bucks on that

and more, a whole lot more

this watch was last sold for $3,215 in 2004

call it a bargain

the best I ever had

Your trousers?
Your pride?
Your accent?
Your drink?

pretense, the answer is always pretense

and trousers

Pretense and trousers, hold on to your drink and be your accent, and if you start without any pride then you don’t have to worry about that at all

You’d be good at Match Game. Drop your pretense fits best.

you now know the secret to my formative years TV watching

Me and Nipsy Russel go way back

Dawson: O.G. Game Changer

Man there’ve been a lot of watches on here recently.

who'd have thunk it

Watches > Wine

Pure Azure tried your rec’s in a previous thread. Don’t know if you saw it.

I didn’t – the Trader Joe cheap stuff or the more dear suggestions?

He like it?

He liked both the TJs picks. Made some good homemade stuff with it (mozzarella & soppressata?).

Homemade Soppressata? Wow, that takes skills. We have a challenging climate for cured meats. I want to buy an old fridge and outfit as a curing chamber, Mrs HJ is not so happy with the idea

Nice pull. Finally, watch talk that is interesting. :)

I was hoping to pull it all together : )

Eric calls this full circle jerk.

I always thought you only got a ring for winning the whole thing. Players got a ring for just winning the National League before??

like, every year, i believe. When only one team wins the league and the playoffs consist of the world series, winning the pennant is a big deal. By now it’s mostly tradition. I believe they do the same thing in basketball and football, handing out league champion rings, they just don’t get the big ceremony.

yeah but right now, do players get a ring for winning the NL, or AL?? If so, wow, I had no idea… thought only for WS champs you get a ring.

fun fact, in 2010 Benji Molina got an American League championship ring and a World Series championship ring!

they still do

Tell us more about playoffs versus postseason, please. :)

I got really on high on my horse two weekends ago, when the Houston Texans were hosting a playoff game. All the pundits said it was the first playoff game in Houston since the Oilers left (which is correct)

And everyone said in twitter, in their whiniest voice, well what about the Super Bowl? WHICH IS NOT A PLAYOFF GAME!

It’s one of the tangents on here that made sense. I had never thought of it before.

the Super Bowl is essentially a professional Plus-One game, no?

does that mean you can bring a date?

unless you’re the texas rangers. then you go stag.

But then Luke Scott would shoot them.

and then Clint Barmes would break his leg carrying them down the stairs

And still be better than Aaron Miles.

No. Not if you’re using the theoretical NCAA definition of plus one.

Postseason, Playoffs, and Championships Oh My!

the Super Bowl is akin to the Rose Bowl, if the Big 10 and Pac 12 were the only conferences. A meeting of conference champions to win a trophy

wow, Im shocked I did not know this, never heard of it before…. so if team wins its league, and then WS, they get 2 rings? or just the WS champions ring?

I don’t know, so grain of salt here, but I would assume just the one ring.

Even dead mayors get rings.

they still do I think

My Dad was watching Pawn Stars yesterday, some guy wanted to sell a set of Braves championship rings. 4 NL champ rings, and one WS ring.

When did championship rings start?

My guess is the 60’s?

The first championship ring to ever be made for players by the team was for the 1922 NFL World Champions: the New York Giants.

I need to take a picture of my NLCS ring from 1978

yes, you do

Its in the safety deposit box in Vero….I live in Boca. I promise to do my best.

How did you get that?

I think i remember a story, but i’m not sure.

I don’t know it was my Dad’s. It was given to him by one of his friends in the Dodger organization. He then gave it to me for my 16th Birthday. I used to wear it to school but then was scared I might lose it so I had him put in the safety deposit box and haven’t seen it since. Really nice ring. White gold with a cool dodger blue in the face with a diamond for the baseball in the dodgers logo.

That's badass

Dan Billardello let me try on his World Series Ring

It was fun

Perronoski did the same for me in 88’

I bet Dann really hates Mat Latos.

Theres a retro styled watch for Humma! Might be a bit more then 1k though.

I am excited about this. Especially if Ethier has a good year.

It’s good to see. Best case scenario for all parties is team does well, Ethier does well, new owners come in, midyear extension.

And Ned goes out.

Still curious to see what he does with Loney.

I'm excited about everyone on the team

if they have a good year

I know we've discussed this a few times on this board

But Rob Neyer has an article discussing whether MLB Turned Its Back On Puerto Rico via the 1990 rule which subjected Puerto Rican baseball players to the amateur draft.

I just assumed that watching after Al Pacino, as Carlito in Carlito’s Way, say he was “the last of the Mo Ricans” Bud Selig assumed there were no more Puerto Ricans at all.

Penelope Ann Miller at her peak

He also assumed that Mo Rocca had died.

he used to be funny

I loved the I Love the Eighties and its derivatives.

I’ll take Gordon Gecko Geico for 500 please

but would you do it if you couldn’t try on the gecko first?

now he does human interest pieces for CBS News Sunday Morning edition

really?

yup, did a segment on football uniforms just before the BCS championship, only reason I know

and doesn’t he host some show on the Cooking Channel? A history of food type show?

NEVER turn your back on a Puerto Rican. /notreally

i thought the whole island had basketball fever now anyways.
in the comments of the article someone mentions...

If PR was not part of the draft what if Boras moved Bryce Harper there and made him a FA how much would he have been worth?

I saw that comment, and immediately thought MLB would call bullshit on that and it would never happen.

He could have gone to Japan or Taiwan if he wanted to avoid the draft (and he thought it would work.)

But to answer your question, I’ll guess he would have gotten Dice-K money.

So much for a ton of incentives

Just $50k, per Tony Jackson.

$25k for 600 PA, $25k for 625 PA

Must’ve shown him the splits.

[picture of Andre giving Ned the split middle fingers]

does

Make a one year offer of 2013 $13M more doable.

well

The chip is on his shoulder now :)

Speaking of bad articles...

This one is pretty hilariously bad.
Can Matt Kemp really go 50-50?
Let me summarize some of the major points:
1. Kemp probably can’t reach 50/50 because he couldn’t reach 40/40 last season. If he had had that one more home run, the author would have been more inclined to be optimistic.
2. Reaching 50/50 is really hard. No one else has ever done it. Which I presume is exactly why the unsourced questioner asked the question…
3. Kemp isn’t really that fast. There’s not really any empirical data to back up this claim, unless you count Kemp’s minor league statistics from 2006.

It would be worse if it said Kemp could go 50/50

Kemp could definitely go see 50/50. Does that count?

Or eat a 50/50 bar. I could see him doing that.

I don’t know. I’d put the chances at …

true.

just because i reach the same conclusion as him doesn’t mean he did a good job of explaining….

I saw that yesterday. I had to laugh.

Ouch
It looks like Ted Lilly will be the highest paid Dodger in 2012.

owowowowowowoww.

File this

under facts that seem insightful but are really meaningless

Apart from the fact

That they tell us we need a new GM.

No, they don’t.

yeah,

i’m pretty ok with Ted Lilly’s contract.

To elaborate, Ted Lilly had the highest WAR last year of any non-cost-controlled player that is still on the team (tied with Loney). Him being the highest-paid is not unreasonable.

Mark Ellis, Juan Rivera, Aaron Harang , Matt Guerrier and Juan Uribe do that, but Kemp getting paid only $10mil in 2012 and Ted Lilly getting paid a fair sum do not.

well

dodgerscribe: Also, it doesn’t sound like Kershaw or Loney are close to agreeing. Arb #s were due to be filed 5 min. ago.

Loney probably wants to be paid like Jim.

oh and Dre's incentives

dodgerscribe: Ethier’s deal is one year, $10.95 mill plus $25,000 for each of 600 and 625 plate appearances. He has reached 600 PAs just once, in 2009

Loney must be excited he got mentioned in the same sentence as Kershaw.

callin’ his kids over to read the tweet

in 20 years, I hope they keep Loney on the Dodger PR tours with Kemp and Clayton.

Loney will star in Fast And Furious XVI

Call me when they make Slow and Mild. I am their man.

We'll call you

Sunday Morning

I still say Loney is the guy from Choo-Choo Soul.

I hate Choo-Choo Soul. Genevieve scares me. That may be why I stopped backing Loney.

Shin Soo-Choo got $4.9 million

THE Shin Soo-Choo

BTW

if I were a sound guy for an MLB team (well aware I would likely get fired) I would play “Drive My Car” by The Beatles or “Crash” by the Dave Matthews Band every time Loney came to bat.

Or “Beep Beep.”

That’s great/terrible.

Bad Habit – Offspring

Little Red Corvette

Roadhouse Blues

“Keep your eyes on the road, your hands upon the wheel”

Drive – The Cars

Haha

I can’t drive 55 – Sammy Hagar

Crawling from the Wreckage

I would start a band called Death Cab for Loney and play that stuff.

we missed you this morning

I saw the WS watch. It is gorgeous. I wonder if it’s solid gold or gold plate. Not that it matters, really; its memorabilia facotr, combined with the Rolex pedigree, is what gives it the value.

maybe im misunderstanding

but if arb numbers were due 5 mins ago and there’s no word on whether or not the dodgers filed them, wouldn’t that be MORE evidence that the dodgers avoided arb and signed them to contracts?

No

The numbers that they filed at will be released later today. The 9am deadline just acts as a deadline of sorts when a lot of deals get done to avoid going to that next step.

They can still continue to negotiate.

ah. i get it.

so all we know is they’re still in negosh, but there might still be smiles times #30Rock

10am deadline, per Tony Jackson now.

Ben Franklin, still trolling.

Tony Jackson is the man!

Willie Mays, not a union guy

from Today in Baseball:

Baseball great Willie Mays, still playing at the time, spoke out in favor of the owners on this date in baseball history in 1970. The San Francisco Giants outfielder told Joe Garagiola in an interview, “If players control the game it is going to be bad. Owners must make some money, too.” Mays comments were in reference to Curt Flood’s refusal to report to the Philadelphia Phillies, the team he was traded to by the St. Louis Cardinals. Mays didn’t criticize Flood’s refusal to report, only saying, “That’s a personal thing. For myself I want to stay in San Francisco, but if the Giants traded me I would go.”

Saw that in the Curt Flood documentary on HBO. Flood got essentially zero support from his colleagues and teammates.

different place and time

I don’t expect my great socially aware leaders to play great Center Field, and I don’t expect the greatest Center Fielder ever to necessarily have a nuanced grasp on labor policy and relations

I think Flood saw the world round when nearly all of his peers still saw it flat. That is a credit to Flood, but not a knock on his peers

Well, it is, actually, when you put it that way. Though I know what you mean.

Cole Hamels got $15 million from the Phils, per Heyman

how do people feel about him as a dodger next season?

i’d rather go after matt cain. there are so many great pitchers on the market next season any team that hopes to contend has to scoop one of them up.

Who are the great pitchers on the market next season?

2013 FA SP class

Starting pitchers
Scott Baker (31) – $9.25MM club option
Joe Blanton (32)
Matt Cain (28)
Fausto Carmona (29) – $9MM club option
Bartolo Colon (40)
Aaron Cook (34)
Kevin Correia (32)
Jorge De La Rosa (32) – $11MM player option with a $1MM buyout
Ryan Dempster (36)
R.A. Dickey (38) – $5MM club option with a $300K buyout
Scott Feldman (29) – $9.25MM club option with a $600K buyout
Gavin Floyd (30) – $9.5MM club option
Freddy Garcia (37)
Zack Greinke (28)
Jeremy Guthrie (34)
Cole Hamels (29)
Dan Haren (32) – $15.5MM club option with a $3.5MM buyout
Tim Hudson (37) – $9MM club option with a $1MM buyout
Hiroki Kuroda (38)
Colby Lewis (33)
Francisco Liriano (29)
Kyle Lohse (34)
Derek Lowe (40)
Paul Maholm (31) – $6.5MM club option with a $500K buyout
Shaun Marcum (31)
Jason Marquis (34)
Daisuke Matsuzaka (32)
Brandon McCarthy (29)
Brett Myers (32) – $10MM club option with a $3MM buyout
Carl Pavano (37)
Jake Peavy (31) – $22MM club option with a $4MM buyout
Joel Pineiro (34)
Anibal Sanchez (29)
Jonathan Sanchez (30)
Ervin Santana (30) – $13MM club option with a $1MM buyout
James Shields (31) – $9MM club option with a $1.5MM buyout
Chien-Ming Wang (33)
Jake Westbrook (35) – $8.5MM mutual option with a $1MM buyout if club declines
Dontrelle Willis (31)
Randy Wolf (36) – $10MM club option with a $1.5MM buyout
Carlos Zambrano (32) – $19.25MM player option depending on Zambrano’s Cy Young voting placement

Lots of crap there.

that phrase applies to every conversation we have

as always

but >1 really good SP is more than we saw this year.

and that list will most certainly change.

check my shorter list below.

compared to this year, with the top two being CJ Wilson and Edwin Jackson, this list is pretty unbelievable

At least half those guys won’t make it to free agency and it will look almost as bad.

totally disagree.

he’s right, we just don’t know which half and who. The Giants may fall out of it, trade Cain, new team extends him, Giants might extend him, or he might hit FA and the three are about as equally likely.

I feel guys like Liriano, Peavy, Zambrano will definitely be free agents

The first two being injury concerns, the last being a head case. I wouldn’t mind taking a chance on any of them depending on how big of a price drop they will be.

Right

Just like CC could have been in this year’s FA class but everyone knew he would go back to the Yankees.

like a dog returning to his vomit

Also some possible goodies:
Peavy
Jonathan Sanchez
Brandon McCarthy
Lewis

dice-k much younger than i thought.

Intrigued

post the posting fee he is attractive

It’s the asian genes.

/Kobe Tai still isn’t billed as “Asian MILF”

Greinke is still only 28?!?!

been pitching since he was the baby.

Of everyone on that list I’d like Grienke in Dodger Stadium.

I’d rather have Loney at 1st and Grienke pitching then Fielder and Eovaldi.

Course when Loney goes .311/.373/.477 this year that will be easier to swallow.

Keith says

Trade for him

Conventional Wisdom

would say that Greinke couldn’t handle LA. I think that’s kind of bogus. But yeah, I’d prefer to have him or Cain instead of Lefty Hamels behind Kershaw.

Fuck handedness

I would take Hamels all day every day over Cain.

yes and yes and yes and yes

I can yes this shit all day

try me

I want to own a huge house with large hallways, including 10 bathrooms so I can shit all day * lil wayne

Yeah, which one was killed by his brother?

"I don't care about matchups"

- Billy Beane

I think of all the “big markets”, LA would be the easiest to play in. The media is hardly hostile, and quite frankly, Dodger stars are the smaller entities in the Los Angeles universe.

Grienke will be coming as a mega free agent. That always has baggage.

yup.

even in Milwaulkee. And that’s why I don’t buy some of the langauge about fragile players and the pressure of big city media. These guys are playing in the major leagues. There’s always going to be media scrutiny, especially when you’re good.

with all the yahoos in LA

We have one of the strongest mental/psychological health communities in the world.

/not based on fact
//based on TMZ

i remember when i told an old coworker that i was moving to LA

she referred to it as the “land of fruits and nuts.” i silently shook my head.

I remember when

people not from LA complained about all the “fern bars”

the old joke

How is Hollywood like a bowl of granola?

Its all fruits, flakes, and nuts….

Where did you move from and how old were you when you moved here?

Just curious

From Rochester, NY

Moved here when I was 23. But the woman who made that joke is probably in her 50s.

Then

she’s a blight on my generation with that kind of talk

I cannot wait to read Simmer on Grienke

oh wait, I can wait

I’m with you. Having Cain and Billingsley on the same team might cause the universe to implode upon itself.

Greinke would make a real nice #2 starter. I see a little Bulldog in him anyway.

bestiality is fucking gross

I'm with you

Greinke would be awesome as a Dodger.

He might be available.

Zambrano, Anibal, Peavy, McCarthy, Marcum, Liriano, Hamels, Greinke, and Cain all are very interesting options that will likely be available. Greinke tops the list for me, then Hamels, then Cain.

Cain, Hamels, Greinke.

So probably just Greinke.

Liriano

“Great” “pitcher”

"seman""tics"

you never want to find

a tic in your seman

List:

Cain
Hamels
Greinke

Good middle of rotation starters:
Liriano
Colby Lewis
Marcum
Daisuke
Ervin Santana
Anibel Sanchez
Jonathan Sanchez
Brandon McCarthy
Kuroda

Will be an interesting test case for supply and demand

Angels have an option on Santana

oh woops

i tried to exclude the option people.

and at the rate they are going will lock him up anyways

they should have the money to do so with hunter and abreu coming off the books and the discounts they got on weaver and howie

This Doesn't Seem Realistic?

Cain – Resign
Hamels – Resign
Greinke – FA

Good middle of rotation starters:
Liriano – Sucks
Colby Lewis – FA
Marcum – FA
Daisuke – Sucks
Ervin Santana – Option
Anibel Sanchez – Resign
Jonathan Sanchez – Sucks
Brandon McCarthy – FA
Kuroda – Retire

Obviously that’s not gonna be exactly right but this seems like a totally reasonable scenario since every free agent class looks great a year in advance.

Cain

Seems to be the opinion of some people that the Giants won’t be able to afford to sign both Lincecum and Cain long term, and that Cain might be the one they let go of.

If that was the choice then they would be choosing correctly

I definitely agree – no way the Giants let Lincecum go to the Yankees, Red Sox or whoever!

surprised

You didn’t give Colby Lewis a “sucks” rating

all those sucks ratings are kind of dumb.

my point was that they’re serviceable middle of the rotation starters. they all are.

Not “dumb” but not useful to the discussion. If Jonathan Sanchez sucks then god knows what Reg thinks of Billingsley.

For fun purposes, Randy Johnson did not break a 109 OPS until his age 29 season.

I'm assuming you meant ERA+.

but then again, a 109 OPS sounds about right for Randy Johnson.

i assumed he meant MPH

I dont know, see how this season goes 1st. But with Kershaw, Bills, Rubby back later on, Evoldi, maybe Zach Lee is ready, I much rather invest the money in offense.

Really? You just named one great pitcher, one average one, one coming off arm surgery, and two rookies, one who was in low A ball. That is what you want to go to battle with instead of Cole Hamels?

“go to battle with”

seems unlike you

are you sure you are Phil?

well, I mean, im all for Cole Hamels, but not if it means we cant upgrade the offense… But I guess the FA market is think on hitting next offseason? so maybe have to get a good SP…. but for example, if next offseason Fielder and Hamels are FAs, and I could only get one, im getting Fielder.

I dont know that I want to give a SP a huge contract before Kershaw gets one….

You are setting a constraint that doesn’t matter.

are you saying

facts that seem insightful but are really meaningless

How do I know it doesnt matter though?? I dont know what the new payroll will be… what kind of contract will Hamels command? What contract will Kershaw command? How do I know new ownership can afford both???

you are looking for the deuce, but the fastball keeps going right by you

and even if they can afford both, along with Bills contract, and Kemp, can they afford another marquee offensive player or 2 on top of that??

Both start with a 2, eventually

well, anyways, all my opinion is, is ofcourse I would love Hamels, but IMO only if we can also lock up Kershaw long term, and 2 super star offensive players… I wouldnt want Kershaw, Hamels, then pretty much a similar offense to what we have now, that wouldnt work for me… but whatever, im not GM.

Fielder won’t be a FA next year

right he wont be, thats why I said if….. was just an example making that power hitting is more a priority for me then SP, but if we can get both, then great… but yes Fielder wont be a FA next year. Shit I might even rather have Napoli then Hamels, but not sure.

Shit I might even rather have Napoli then Hamels, but not sure.

No

for kicks

the best FA position players are probably
Josh Hamilton
Shane Victorino
Michael Bourn
Andre Ethier

BJ Upton might actually make it to free agency so I’d include him.

i'd like one of the centerfielders

not victorino though.

So, Michael Bourn.

there are questions about him

His answer is always

I can’t remember

thanks for picking this up

elsewhere I made a reference to sex with a bulldog, don’t take this the wrong way, but as I wrote it I admit thinking of you

I was going to make

a Hershiser joke, but I couldn’t find the comment. Then I lost interest.

BJ Upton isnt a CF?

And while he doesn’t play like one, Hamilton is technically a CF. So I meant one of those three.

That’s who I’d choose.

i was thinking offensively, especially since we have TGJr if you want a defense-first guy who won’t see much PT because of his bat, you might as well use the one making $1mil.

Upton can hit
OPS+ of 115 last year

after coming crashing down in 2009, he got better each of the last 2 years

ok, so put him on the list. the Ks and low avg/obp are worrisome, but sure why not

Yeah

I don’t know what happened, but for 2 years he had a high 300s OBP and now he seems stuck int he low 300s

Hamels it is then.

I’d trade Eovaldi and Jansen for the best offensive player I could get an call it a day.

What could they realistically get?

Pipe dream: Andrew McCutchen if you throw in Sands and Webster
Realistically: i have no clue. Ian Kinsler if you threw in Webster?

why would the rangers trade ian kinsler?

they have enough offense to spare, in a park that can create offense, for a guy with 1 option year left until free agency after this year.

I’m a fan of offense at 2b too. Hard to go to battle with Mark Ellis.

McCutchen is under contract for as long as kershaw isn't he?

I wouldn’t want to give up Sands and Webby for McCutchen…fuck that noise

O_O

really?

I was actually willing to consider McCutchen for Kemp and Kershaw last year

McCutchen is good and under contract for a long time

I think this was earlier in 2011 when McCutchen was still

keeping pace with Kemp, and we thought no way kemp gets an extension.

are you serious?

Ridicule me all you want….I’ll stick by the fact (all day) that I wouldn’t do that 4:1 trade.

Those four pieces would leaving gaping holes that would be difficult to fill (and expensive)

McCutchen isn’t Kemp

Gaping? Sands didn’t even win a starting outfield spot and Webby is in AA.

I think he is refering to 2013 with the assumption that both Ethier and Rivera are gone, Sands has a pretty good shot at taking one of those spots. Still McCutchen is pretty sweet.

you could then play from LF-CF-RF, Gwynn, McCutchen, Kemp.

I’ll live.

That D would be rediculous.

Mike we can agree to disagree…no biggie. I’m personally banking on Webby being a solid #4 and hoping Sands ends up meeting 75% of his potential. People here wanted to give up on Kemp and I was his biggest advocate. Same thing with Dee Gordon and although I can’t prove it now there are certain players I’d be willing to bank my TBLA rep on when it comes to reaching their potential.

even if they do that...

mccutchen is still more valuable

you seem to really be undervaluing mccutchen
keep banking

but you really can’t expect any of those prospects to pan out. McCutchen, on the other hand, is a pretty sure bet.

Then I can be wrong in this instance. I must undervalue McCutchen because I used to hold him and Colby Rasmus in the same regard although 11’ stats show they are completely different players.

I would trade an established #4 and a 115 OPS+ corner OF for McCutchen in a heartbeat. Although McCutchen is missing an ‘o’ in his name.

what?

gaping holes? how? none of them have a starting job in the major leagues except jansen, and he’s an effing relief pitcher.

thats assuming any of those prospects every pan out

McCutchen is a much player then I think you realize. He might be the 2nd best CF in baseball. Probably pretty easily in the top 5.

Man, you know I’m with you on a lot of things, but McCutchen is a top 10ish player in MLB, is under team control for another 4 years, and we’re talking about players who have yet to make a dent in MLB butw ho would be big lotto tickets for the Pirates.

I made the statement prior to looking at his numbers last year.

generally relievers are overvalued

but i wouldnt give up jansen at this point. i’ll repeat what i always say: by the end of 2012 Kenley Jansen will be considered one of the best relief arms in baseball.

i like trading relievers at their peak. If he has a peakier peak than 2011, awesome.

Which is why we should’ve traded Guerra for something this offseason.

Right. Though i could see waiting until they’re both about to hit arbitration to make a decision.

JOSH HAMILTON?? yeah get me him please!!!

what will you do

when he strains a rib signing the contract?

Send him to Germany, get that shit fixed real quick.

Not to mention im still high on Bills, I dont care what numbers say, or this you usually are what you are at this age, whatever…. I still think Bills has it in him, and ill never give up!!

dude needs to throw more strikes and learn how to get througha lineup a third time and he’ll be amazing.

yeah, i still like bills too.

a lot actually. i really just see last year as a down season. otherwise, the guy has a a 3.68 era over 163 career starts (with a 3.71 fip). i’ll take that in a heart beat.

me too.

problem is there’s not much offense on the market next year.

but with a new owner

Can’t we have it all?

Man, I sure hope so!

I don't see any way the Dodgers go after a starting pitcher

They will have:

Kershaw
Billingsley
Harang
Capuano
Rubby
Eovaldi

Then possibly Webster, Withrow, or even Zach Lee clawing at the door.

i know, i said the smae thing to my brother. but if a lot of those pitchers end up hitting the market i would imagine their value would be deflated and it would be smart to sign one and trade away some of what we’ve got for some hitting.

Hamels is a must no matter what

Find a way to get rid of Capang or something. Plus, Nate Dogg is probably a reliever.

Lilly is still around too.

in 2013?

oh joy, lol.

Unless we trade 2 or 3 of those guys to get some offense…

I don't see any way they go after a starting pitcher

They will have:

Kershaw
Billingsley
Harang
Capuano
Rubby
Eovaldi

Then possibly Webster, Withrow, or even Zach Lee clawing at the door.

I don’t see how that list precludes us from going after someone good. There is only one for sure pitcher on that list. One.

The sure thing

If they were making that movie today, they would omit the definite article and call it “Sure Thing.” Question: is that title better or worse?

“The Sure Thing” sounds like an easy lay.

“Sure Thing” sounds like a response to a request.

It’s worse.

“The” doesn’t make every title better, but in this case since the “Sure Thing” in this case is a person, and people are nouns, I go with the “The Sure Thing”

Reading “Girl with Curious Hair.” Same idea.

“Where Wild Things Are”

This is not the question

The question is why would they remake that POS.

It’s always best to drop the the. Just ask Facebook.

it's really weird how out of vogue definite articles are now.

just look at band names.

She Likes Cloth

I miss having The in front of every band name

not

Strokes would be a completely different band

Diff’rent even?

have to imagine much of that’s to do with our search engine optimized world. The just gets in the way

interesting take. as for band names, i always assumed it was just a backlash against the garage rock revival.

In the mid-late 90’s, I was sure that no bad would be signed unless it had a misspelling and/or a number in its name.

god those names sucked. as did their music.

Billingsley is under contract for that year, is he not?

Then apparently I forgot Lilly too. You have Lilly, Harang, Capuano all with one year left and making tons of money. Do you just eat the rest of what they are making and get a new big free agent starter?

Capang is one big question mark for 2013. They are filling the Kuroda void this year but next year is a whole different can of beans. Wouldn’t surprise if neither is a starter in 2013.

Maybe the relatively low price for Ethier is a bad sign. Perhaps both sides know his injury is more serious that we feared. Or maybe Ned played the Kim Ng card.

or perhaps Dre took a fair offer on the table, in anticipation of his long term contract next year.

Nolij’s point makes more sense to me. If both sides have knowledge of lingering injury issues, AND if those injury issues are going to be disclosed/discussed/have an impact on the arb hearing, then it’s in Ethier’s interest to avoid the hearing.

Speaking of Germany

Ive been wondering how many players will go to Germany to get fixed like Kobe did now, and how many players this could really help? Wonder how much this procedure or whatever it is could change the game. In alot of sports.

Potentially a lot, until it gets banned.

Maybe it gets banned, or im thinking the FDA or whatever its called is going to rush to get this procedure approved so it can be done here.

If Ethier still has knee issues this year, I could see a trip to Octoberfest on his way to free agency.

I have an arthritic toe

Fucking Aetna won’t step up and foot the bill

“Kobe Bryant Procedure” to become as well known as “Tommy John Surgery”?

Doesn’t the “Kobe Bryant Procedure” already mean something else?

HEY O

zing

hey, the Kobe System works!

Kobe says “Your Welcome”

I still don’t get what those commercials are trying to sell

yeah, me either to be honest…. Is it his shoes??

Dam, wasnt Joel Pinero one of the top FA SPs just a few years ago? Now he’s signing minor league deals.

he's always been kind of a wildcard.

he’s had a couple randomly good seasons, but has been mediocre to below average overall.

Still, how does that become a minor league signing when you account for those who are getting major league deals. I also found it astonishing.

He completely fell off a cliff in the second half last year.

yeah yeah

but Vincente Padilla roped a major league contract.

No he didn’t

woops.

my bad. i just read 1.5 mil and assumed that was his stupid stupid contract.

That’s if he makes the team.

No he didn’t

Even with a few bounce back starts in September, Pineiro after the All-Star break had a 7.11 ERA with 15 walks and 21 strikeouts in 56 innings, and gave up nine home runs.

yeah

him and chatwood just fell off a cliff, and then set themselves on fire.

This visual works for me.

Yeah, and yet many major league starters have completely sucked not just in 2011 but for their whole careers.

only using court’s FA starting pitcher valuation method :)

i listed 11 FA pitchers

3 of which are undeniable aces (or close), the rest I called middle of the rotation. I stand by those claims. Whether or not they’ll make it to FA is another matter, but my valuation method is solid. SOLID AS A ROCK.

He got divorced from Dave Duncan. :)

FOR THE RECORD

In regards to my comments on undervaluing McCutchen. After further research and deliberation with my baseball constituents I need to cop to being a complete jackass. It was a simple case of open mouth, insert foot.

I’d appreciate not being judged to harshly as I hope to have displayed a solid trackrecord of baseball knowledge in the past.

My bad homies!

Just say you thought we were talking about Daniel McCutchen, then it will be all good.

Lawrence McCutcheon

Ash Ketchum

i find this hilarious.

/generation appropriate humour!

Humma McClutchin’

Smokem Ifyaogtem

No way, dude. I know Smokey only had that one year that he was any good, but I was always a fan.

Some people think it’s unusual that Smokey the Bear wears pants; to me, the fact he doesn’t wear a shirt is more noteworthy.

Daylan McCutcheon was supposed to be legendary.

Blast from the Past

He was the first high school recruit I ever followed. He was on the cover of the first Cal-Hi Sports Magazine I ever read.

Also, Sherry Konopski was my first Playmate of the Month. August 1987.

there’s no record, we’re all just throwing spaghetti

i sling mud

baboon poop

various aspersions

Ass Persian: Kim Kardashian?

wow

TBLA beebop

Scatological scat

I was focused more on the ASS than Persian

I can understand what you are saying. In fact, with the preface that McCutchen is the better player, I’d rather keep Sands and the rest and sign Upton. Upton is not as good, but provides many of the same things that McCutchen does.

and TGJ provides much of what BJ Upton does, unless you find HRs to be sexy

You way overvalue Mr Gywnn

30 ops+ isn't worth much phil

if BJ Upton has his 2011 season again in 2012, he has to get something like 48/4, no?

Sure, maybe even 5/60. I’d do that and let Sands play LF.

point being, Gwynn will make between 1 and 2mil for that first year, and BJ Upton will make more money than seems reasonable. With the savings you could do more than upgrade 30 OPS+, you could solidify a rotation spot or upgrade at another position.

Whats 3 WAR worth to you?

you’re telling me the 30 OPS+ is 3 WAR?

yes

[backs away slowly]

i literally do not understand how that works.
its easy to find a guy who can put up an 86 ops+ I imagine
I doubt these things are linear
actually I wonder how low your OPS+ has to be for you to get -WAR

so 0.0 war is probably somewhere in the 60s or 70s. If you think of it that way it makes more sense.

fielding counts in WAR, so I hate it and you can only compare oWAR if you’re going to do that.

This is oWar

they are exactly 3 apart in oWar

[backing away less slowly]

I tihnk 30 points in OPS+ is huge

its the difference between upton and MVP MATT FUCKING KEMP

if you multiply it by 2

I just can’t imagine him being worth the contract I imagine him getting.

that sounds like a personal problem

That is probably true, but that is quite different then

and TGJ provides much of what BJ Upton does, unless you find HRs to be sexy
and honestly

who doesn’t find home runs sexy?

Pitchers and other communist

I was working under the assumption that Upton was still 2009 Upton or w/e it was when he struck out too much and didn’t get on base ever. That’s still true, but he got his SLG up high enough to be not a huge liability, and of course his glove is still elite. But if the gloves between him and TGJr are a wash, the difference is two .240 hitters but one hit 20 more HR last year.

.

it’s a red X for me.

fuck you and your fucking filter
JK!

its leo squinting at you

I never tire

of this picture

That’s a pretty significant difference in my book.

at $12-15mil or so more, is it?

ITS A SIGNIFIGANT DIFFERENCE

HE MAY NOT BE WORTH THAT MUCH MORE BUT SOMETIMES YOU OVERPAY TO GET TALENT.

Since the age of 22 BJ has had one bad year. Career OBP of .342.

Cool

let’s sign him. he can hit 3rd.

baseball reference backs me up on this

fangraphs seems to to, but gives gwynn a higher score defensively.

I like TGJ and all, but he is what he is, a nice 4th OFer. Other than 2009, Upton is a consistent 4 WAR player.

OB12 that was what I was thinking. Plus I undervalued McCutchen because I thought he was cut with the Rasmus cloth.

McCutchen is great, but Upton would be a suitable alternative for me.

I will be an unhappy camper if Sands ends up being a bum. As for Webby I’m hoping / expecting the end result to be

Billingsley < Webby

I think you have a pretty good shot at being an unhappy camper

not a lock at being miserable, but I’d expect to be salty if I were you

How can a camper be unhappy? Forget his hot cocoa?

Went to Valley Forge, forgot the bug spray.

They say we’ll have some fun when it stops raining.

Thank you for this.

Erick Aybar signed with the Angels for one-year, $5.075 million, per Mike DiGiovanna.

I wonder

what Willy is up to

isn't he in jail?

A lot of players agreeing to deals today

I’d think an outfield of three right handed hitters without any left handed difference makers in the infield would be a disadvantage. Since you can no longer find good left hand hitting infielders other then 1st baseman, when we replace Andre, he needs to be replaced with a left hand hitter or we need one heck of a left handed 1st baseman.

Can’t see Texas spending all this money and then letting Hamilton walk.

Good thing we have a left handed hitting SS.

But point taken.

Sign Upton, trade a couple of prospects for Headley. Done.

Oh, wait. Punch Uribe in the face and tell him to GTFO. Done.

why would we punch uribe in the face?

Just seems like something to do.

It just really bothers me for some reason

He has done nothing off the field to deserve such a thing, and I hardly think someone deserves to be punched in the face for being poor at their job, assuming they gave their best effort. Maybe its just bothering me more right now knowing jacoby jones is getting death threats and having people burn jerseys on his front lawn because he fumbled a fucking football.

My apologies for hyperbole. I just have no desire to see Uribe play another inning for this team. Makes me a little frustrated he is here for two more seasons.

I am on the record

bounce back season for Juan

He will be ok

People keep saying that. I am pretty skeptical.

1) Look at Andruw Jones
2) It would almost be impossible for Uribe not to have a bounce-back season.

almost impossible?

what if he, you know, doesn’t hit very well?

2008: 76 OPS+, 353 PA
2009: 112 OPS+, 432 PA
2010: 102 OPS+, 575 PA
2011: 56 OPS+, 295 PA

You really think he’s going to do worse in 2012 than he did in 2011?

I don’t think he will do worse, but even an 80 OPS+ would be pretty awful.

3rd baseman and 2nd baseman are kinda awful at hitting a baseball
do you like tony gwynn at all?

I like him for what he is, good 4th OFer. Not starting 3B.

like i said

he could do better than last year and still not be very good. or he could just be injured for more than half the season like last year.

when I hear "bounce back"

i dont think “exceed the unbelievable shittiness from the last season.” i think that phrase implies they get “good” again. He may do better than a 56 OPS+, but that doesn’t mean it’s “impossible” for him not to bounce back

Right, he would have to approach being a serviceable starter to be considered bounce back in my book. Sounds like a lot to ask.

.240/.300/.400 is serviceable, and reasonable.

Our bars are so low

They’re so low, even I can belly up to them.

You’re rendering the term “bounce-back” meaningless. Bounce-back does not equal good.

The 2010-11 seasons exceeded what would be typical for Uribe, yet you’re saying that he has to reach that level to have a bounce-back season.

Come on, anyone can bounce back from being the worst hitter in baseball, for bounce back to have any meaning the season has to be useful.

“The 2010-11 seasons exceeded what would be typical for Uribe, yet you’re saying that he has to reach that level to have a bounce-back season.”

I’m not really sure what this means.

I think you’re rendering “bounce back” meaningless. If Uribe has a 57 OPS+, is that technically a bounce back? If so, then who cares about a bounce back>

I think you’re splitting hairs. I’m not going to crow I was right if Uribe has a 57 OPS+.

However, if he bounces back to an 80 OPS, that’s meaningful even if it’s not “good.”

It is splitting hairs, but the connotation is important. He’d go from being completely useless to just bad.

Dead-cat bounce

That OBP looks a little high :)

That’s awful, which would be a win for Uribe.

it’d be average offensively, with his above average defense. For $8mil. We win.

Based on this thread, the baseball irony gods are hard at work making this prediction come true.

1. Juan Uribe will bounce back and have an OPS of .750
2. His defense will be so bad that Russell Mitchel would be considered a defensive upgrade.

if his defense is that bad next year...

I will continue believing the universe is a cruel hard place.

He’s pretty round. He should be good at bouncing.

yes and yes

he could be as bad, he could be worse, but he will probably be better

so what?

he was so bad last season that he could OPS .650 this year and still be “better.”

have you seen the numbers for the average 3bman?

he also plays good D

no. i havent.

i still don’t think a .650 ops is good. aaron miles posted a .660 last year and that was ok because he was suppsoed to be a bench player. any starter that posts a .650 ops is not hitting very well (unless, of course, their OBP is astronomically high, which we know Uribe’s won’t be).

average OPS for a 3rd baseman or 2nd baseman these days

is around 680 to 690. Uribe is above average at defense.

and that average is probably culled from any player that starts the game at 3b, whether or not they’re a full time starter. i’d be interested in seeing the average ops for players that are actually #1 on a team’s depth chart.

name me 10 3rd baseman that don't suck

Longoria
Sandoval
Headley
Beltre
Young
Youkilis
A. Ramirez
Polanco
Prado
Roberts
Chipper

oh woops.

that was 11. and i forgot alex rodriguez.

And Mike Schmidt

Pie Traynor is due for a bounceback year.

Arlie Latham says Pie Traynor can fuck himself.

That was not hard

Throw in youngsters likely to be better:
Moustakas
The Rockie Kid
Kyle Seager
Morel

and oldies
Rolen
Alex

That is without even looking at depth charts.

Even a “good” uribe is a lousy Uribe.

and chipper could miss most of the year.. again

roberts could turn into a pumpkin ramirez is getting old etc. so whats the average ops for a “starting” 3rd baseman. I’m guessing it still doesn’t crack 700.

hahaha

so we’re gonna just throw hypotheticals in there? they all could die in a plane crash to a “great 3b convention” making uribe a top 5 3b, but so what? you asked me to name 10 3b that don’t suck, and i did, FTW.

you do realize I was replying to phils comment

which was filled with hypotheticals right? RIGHT?!?

I'm excited about the Rockies 3B prospect

Though it sucks he’s a rocky, lol.

prado had a .687 ops last year

palanco had a .674 ops. Michael Young is not a 3rd baseman. Yokilis missed. So basically there are 10 good 3rd baseman. Uribe doesn’t have to do much to be as mediocre as the other 19.

Make it easier, look at the teams, name me a 3rd baseman in 2012 who will not be better then Juan Uribe?

Heck for several years we’ve had the worse offensive 1st baseman. In 2012 we get to see if we can have the worst 1st baseman, 2nd baseman, SS, and 3rd baseman. Good times await us all.

Chone Figgins?

Kyle Seager will probably start. No big deal but still better.

you guys aren't bringing your A game

neither of you metnioned zimmerman or that kid in Miami.

I actually think Uribe can be better then Dominguez in 2012 but not Hanley

exactly.

people just need to take the blue tinted glasses off. uribe is not a good hitter. even for a 3b.

Is there one person in here who has said Uribe is a good hitter?

i was responding to an argument that a .650 ops is good for a 3b. so in that case, yes.

You put words in my mouth

I iddn’t say it was good. I said his D could make him “goodish”

I didn't say he was

I said he could do enough to be mediocre to not completely bad enough that his D could make up the difference and he could be useful.

Jones hasn’t bounced back as much as he has found a niche. We are still wanting Uribe to be a starter.

He will have better than a .710 OPS

Count on it

I am on the record

Juan Uribe could bounce back

he would still suck, because Juan Uribe is not good at hitting a baseball.

what fun is that prediction

Reality intervenes.

Juan Uribe will not post an OPS ala 2009 in the .824 range
Juan Uribe will not post an OPS ala 2010 in the .749 range
Juan Uribe will not post an OPS ala 2011 in the I am the worst hitter in baseball range

He will post an OPS in the .640 – .680 range and while everyone can crow he had a bounce back that is still not going to help a team score runs with an infield of Loney / Ellis / Gordon / Uribe and AJ Ellis behind the plate. Kemp and Andre will only be able to do so much.

Looks like we’ll have pretty similar projections this year, Phil.

What part of my original comment do people disagree with?

“Uribe is a good defensive player and it’s more likely than not that he’ll have a bounce-back year offensively. That certainly is not setting the bar high, and I’ve not been a fan of his contract from day one, but I would offer that he’s probably being underestimated for 2012.”’

It’s not like I said he was gonna be an All-Star or even a good player.

it’s a nitpicking atmosphere here this morning

people want to hate Dodgers named Juan

Encarnacion
Pierre
?

Rivera

isn’t that enough?

How much hate is good enough for you man?

Castro, Pierre, Rivera, Uribe, Encarnacion, Samuel…

I can’t think of one I liked.

Ewww. Juan Samuel. First Dodger I ever hated!

Did I stutter?

people want to hate Dodgers named Juan

Is nitpicking really the right word for it? ;)

I call it “Dickishness”, but hey that’s just me

thanks for the reply about my event idea. my potential hopefully future boss really loved the idea.

Sweet – glad to be of service

If you admit that he might not even be a good player, then I guess we agree. In that case, who cares if he bounces back.

Yeah, that is pretty much the point we agree on.

Admit? Yes, you’ve gotten me to concede what I have felt along.

However, if you don’t think the difference between an OPS+ in the 50s and one in the 70s or 80s is significant, we do disagree. It will help, and the Dodgers need every bit of help they can get.

I like it when you bold

Last place teams care about 80 OPS+ being helpful, not teams in contention discussing their starting 3rd baseman.

Not sure which is more helpful, a 57 OPS+ from someone who luckily got hurt and did not play much or 600 at bats from an 80 OPS+

this is about the stupidest baseball conversation we have ever had here
so's your face
.

That doesn't make any sense

So’s your face!

All that means is that the level of discourse regarding baseball has finally devolved to the level of discourse regarding everything else.

That’s just flat-out wrong.

So if Russell Martin had had a 60 OPS+ instead of an 85 OPS+ for the 2009 Dodgers, that wouldn’t have mattered?

If David Freese had had a 100 OPS+ instead of a 120 OPS+ for St. Louis, the Cardinals don’t even make the playoffs in 2011.

Twenty points of OPS+ matters, whatever your team is.

Okay, just speaking for myself I simply don’t care if a player has an OPS of 60 or 80 they both are not good enough to be playing everyday for a team in contention.

The difference going up from that point is different for me.

If Juan Uribe bounces all the way back to his 2010 level, then hell yeah, I will be excited, if he does his White Sox season, I couldn’t care less.

Juan Uribe was less than useless last year

That won’t be the case this year. He won’t be good, but hell, with his defense he might be close to average, if just below average.

It WILL make a difference.

to return the discussion to baseball...

he might be the best bet for 2b/3b this season. i cant really imagine hairston/ellis/kennedy doing better at the plate than uribe. well, im sure some of them will get on base more, but i think people hold out hope that uribe can hit 15+ hr.

BUT

I’m gonna go on record saying I don’t think he bounces back like Jon or Joe predict.

Uribe is a good defensive player and it’s more likely than not that he’ll have a bounce-back year offensively. That certainly is not setting the bar high, and I’ve not been a fan of his contract from day one, but I would offer that he’s probably being underestimated for 2012.

exactly

a 100% exactly

I certainly hope so.

I’d offer that he’s being over estimated by those expecting a “bounceback” to turn into a useful hitter.

useful player

not hitter

I don’t personally blame Uribe for not being very good, or for getting a bad contract.

I think if Texas signs Fielder they would let Hamilton walk. But other than that, I agree I think Texas will try to keep Hamilton

Half the people can be part right all of the time, and some of the people can be all right part of the time, but all the people can’t be all right all of the time.

Classic

I forgot: who did Dylan say said that? Abe Lincoln? Mark Twain? I forgot.

“I think Abraham Lincoln said that. I’ll let you be in my dreams if I can be in yours. I said that.”

So I'm trying out Netflix

through my PS3. Re-watching Breaking Bad season 1. It’s pretty sweet, and I may decide to keep it once my free month is up.

dam, you have a PS3? crazy, wouldnt have expected that.

Lots of good old movies on netflix

also lots of the worst movies ever made

hey now

Big Trouble in Little China is a classic!!

thats a good old movie

Netflix has the new Sherlock series with the guy from The Office who’s gonna be The Hobbit and Benedict Cumberbatch which is an even more ridiculous name than Sherlock Holmes.

yeah I need to get on that

they also have Dr Who. Plenty of stuff to watch if your entire life isn’t dedicated to watching TV and Movies as soon as they come out.

Thats what I dont like, take off the shitty movies and add more good movies… more new movies to be specific…. Wonder when the time will come you can stream any movie ever made on 1 service… except the ones in theatres or whatever.

general rule: if you or anyone you know has the urge to go buy it on dvd/blu-ray from a store and/or see it in theatres, it’s not streaming yet. The licenses would be way too high.

you may enjoy Netflix, however I had the same reaction as you, and would assume everyone does that tries it…. But then as time goes on, I got over it, wasnt using it enough, and then canceled. But alot of others use it alot, so that could be you too.

I still get plenty of use out of it

I don’t watch a ton of tv, so I’m usually a year or two behind on shows, so I can watch a bunch of them on Netflix for cheap.

Netflix rules

David Price got $4.35 million from the Rays as a Super Two, the same number Dontrelle Willis and Cole Hamels (as part of a 3-year deal) got when they were Super Twos. The record for first-time arb pitchers….normal pitchers that is.

Loney signs
The Dodgers avoided arbitration with first baseman James Loney on a deal worth $6.375MM plus performance bonuses, according to his agency CAA.

CAA has been a busy tweeter today

OMG WTF

THATS 6.375 MILLION TOO MUCH. LONEY SHOULD BE PAYING US HE SUCKS SO BAD. LETS MURDER HIS FAMILY.

No jury would convict us.

as long

as we don’t punch him in the face. That’s beyond the pale

its just not polite

haha come on nolander… are fans not allowed to say things they dont mean out of passion??

ned beating all the projections today.

Probably slapping his forehead, saying “Damn, if I knew I’d save this much in arb, I would have signed Kuroda!”

Seems pretty good to me.

I want BJ Upton if he's a free agent next year

His bat isn’t a big bat, but he’s shown he can have a high OBP and he’s shown some pretty good HR power. He’s an above average fielder and think he would be great to have anywhere in the outfield.

true or false

People hate “fat” Dodgers more easily than they hate Dodgers who appear or are more fit?

people hate fat people

/thread

Forster Syndrome

For sure.

But we also love them disproportionately [no pun intended].

Counterpoint: Mike Fetters.

Gio was roundish.

and I hated him

Still do actually

He wasn’t all that popular.

I'm one of the fat people

So I don’t have any problem with that, unless you’re andruw jones who just eats your contract in twinkies in one offseason.

I was big fan of Belliard and Jones. I like round players, Pablo is awesome. Juan Uribe is not.

This was almost a great thread

but ended up a loser

We’ll call it “Juan”

maybe the next thread will bounce back

this was great

Kind of like “munsoned”?

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